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Cake day: June 27th, 2023

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  • Something I’ve wondered is how the poll aggregators apply the vote % to regional breakdowns / seat estimates. Are they using the voting patterns from previous elections, or is there polling data broken down by seat?

    So if voting patterns changed significantly without overall vote % changing much, the results could still be very very different, correct?










  • Disagree on your assessment of why PR failed, but I agree with it being the bottom of my priorities right now. Back in 2013 I voted Liberal for the first time (normally an NDP voter) purely for electoral reform - it’s incredibly important for the long term health of our democracy. However, we’re in an economic crisis, and I really think we need to survive the next few years before we can worry about long term health, and I think Carney is the right guy for that. I will be happy to see him replaced with someone more progressive down the road.